Corey ([info]sergeantbrother) wrote,
@ 2008-08-06 00:48:00
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McCain win?
I've been getting this strong feeling lately that McCain is going to win the presidential race. It seemed unlikely a while ago, but I think that as time goes on McCain's chances are looking better and better.

Really, there are plenty of reasons McCain should be behind now - he effectively represents an unpopular incumbent, he is unpopular with his own party, he's not very charismatic. Obama, on the other hand, has every reason to on top of the world now - his "change" image, the deification he's been getting from the press, his charisma, the bump from beating out Hillary, the general unpopularity with the establishment and his anti-establishment hype. But, it seems like McCain and Obama are pretty close right now, close when Obama should be ahead by double digits. I think that probably anybody who would have voted for Obama would be a supporter by now, I think in the time between now and the election, undecideds are more likely to go to McCain. Unless something important happens that influences public opinion between now and then.

Of course, I'm not sure, but if I had to bet now, I'd bet on McCain.



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[info]zenicurean
2008-08-06 10:10 am UTC (link)
There's also the war issue and the state of the economy. Both would tentatively support Obama's bid for power and that's actually where my money is right now. (Not necessarily support, as such, and I don't get to vote anyway. It's that I'm literally gambling on your election.)

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[info]jordan179
2008-08-06 01:14 pm UTC (link)
We're winning the war now, which is not good for Obama.

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[info]zenicurean
2008-08-06 02:00 pm UTC (link)
I'd imagine it's more of a question of the war itself being unpopular, at least according to the polls I've seen, than whether or not Iraq is actually doing better or worse.

Similiarly, I'm not so sure there's all that much that any president, Democrat or Republican, can actually do for the natural ups and downs of the American economy, but whoever gets caught leaving office during bad weather (it's certainly not a recession yet, despite cries from the left, but we'll see how it goes) gets to take the flak anyway.

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[info]madamealexis
2008-08-07 02:28 pm UTC (link)
I refuse to vote for either of those criminals. If they are the only two on the ballot look for a news story on my being tasered and arrested because I wanted to vote for someone worth a damn and how electronic voting machines are nothing more than an organized crime scam.

As long as people believe they can only vote Democrat or Republican there will never be hope for a 3rd party. That too is part of the scam.

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[info]sergeantbrother
2008-08-07 09:23 pm UTC (link)
Yeah, I agree. I can't vote for either myself, though I don't even know if it matters who people vote for anyway. I think that largely the difference between McCain and Obama are false dichotomies meant to trick people into believing that their votes actually matter.

I'm going to vote 3rd party as a protest, probably either for Bob Barr or Chuck Baldwin, though neither are my ideal candidate.

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